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FGN bonds, Treasury bills deliver highest returns before Q1 yield decline

FGN Bond For Jan. 2021 Oversubscribed

By Boluwatife Oshadiya | May 18, 2026, 11:42 AM

Key Points

  • Nigeria’s 364-day Treasury bill recorded Q1 2026’s highest sovereign yield at 18.47% in January
  • Bond and Treasury bill yields declined steadily after the CBN began easing monetary policy in February
  • Total subscriptions for FGN bonds reached N5.88 trillion in Q1, highlighting strong investor appetite for sovereign debt

Main Story

Nigeria’s fixed-income market delivered some of the strongest sovereign returns seen in recent years during the first quarter of 2026, before yields began to decline following the Central Bank of Nigeria’s monetary policy easing cycle.

A review of auction data from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and the Debt Management Office (DMO) showed that investors who entered the market early in January secured the highest yields across Treasury bills and Federal Government bonds.

The 364-day Treasury bill posted the quarter’s highest stop rate at 18.47% during the January 7 primary market auction, making it the best-performing risk-free naira instrument during the period. The 182-day Treasury bill peaked at 16.65%, while the 91-day instrument remained relatively stable within the 15.80% to 15.95% range throughout the quarter.

On the bond side, the 18.50% FGN FEB 2031 bond delivered the highest yield-to-maturity stop rate at 17.62% during the DMO’s January auction. Demand remained elevated, with total subscriptions across Q1 bond auctions reaching N5.88 trillion against a combined offer of N2.45 trillion.

The strong yields were largely driven by the Federal Government’s aggressive domestic borrowing programme to finance its widening fiscal deficit, which rose from an initial N23.85 trillion projection to about N29.20 trillion. Tight liquidity management by the CBN also contributed to elevated rates at the start of the quarter.

However, market conditions shifted in February after the CBN’s Monetary Policy Committee reduced the Monetary Policy Rate by 50 basis points to 26.50%, signalling the beginning of a new easing cycle.

Following the rate cut, yields across Treasury bills and bonds compressed sharply. The 364-day Treasury bill rate fell from 18.47% in January to 15.90% by February 18, before settling at 16.43% at the final auction of March.

Similarly, the 19.00% FGN FEB 2034 bond experienced the sharpest yield decline during the quarter, with its stop rate falling by 200 basis points between January and February.

Despite declining yields, investor appetite remained robust. At the March 25 Treasury bill auction, the one-year instrument attracted subscriptions worth N2.726 trillion against an offer of N200 billion, reflecting a subscription ratio of 13.6 times.

The sustained demand was supported by excess market liquidity, increased pension fund allocations into sovereign instruments, and expectations that rates could decline further in subsequent quarters.

The Issues

The Q1 fixed-income performance reflects the broader tension between Nigeria’s rising fiscal financing needs and the CBN’s inflation-control strategy.

The Federal Government’s elevated borrowing programme continues to increase pressure on the domestic debt market, with sovereign instruments becoming increasingly attractive to institutional investors seeking low-risk returns in a volatile macroeconomic environment.

At the same time, the CBN’s gradual shift toward monetary easing suggests policymakers are attempting to balance inflation management with the need to support economic growth and credit expansion.

The quarter also highlighted the growing influence of Pension Fund Administrators in Nigeria’s debt market. Regulatory adjustments by the National Pension Commission contributed to stronger demand for government securities, even as yields moderated.

For investors, the rapid yield compression demonstrates how quickly opportunities can narrow once policy direction changes in a rate-sensitive environment.

What’s Being Said

“The fixed-income market in Q1 reflected a classic transition from tightening to easing, and investors who entered early benefited significantly from the elevated yields,” said a Lagos-based fixed-income analyst at a leading investment firm.

“Government borrowing requirements remain a major driver of market activity, but lower yields could gradually reduce the attractiveness of sovereign debt if inflation pressures persist,” said Bismarck Rewane, Chief Executive Officer of Financial Derivatives Company.

“Investor demand for Nigerian sovereign instruments remains resilient because pension funds and institutional investors still prioritise safety and liquidity in the current macroeconomic climate,” said an analyst at Vetiva Capital Management.

What’s Next

  • Investors are expected to closely monitor the next CBN Monetary Policy Committee meeting for further guidance on interest rate direction
  • DMO bond auctions in Q2 2026 are likely to reflect continued yield moderation if liquidity conditions remain elevated
  • Analysts expect inflation trends and exchange-rate stability to determine the pace of additional monetary easing during the second half of 2026

The Bottom Line:

Nigeria’s Q1 2026 fixed-income market rewarded early investors with some of the highest sovereign yields seen in years, but the rapid compression that followed confirms the peak of the rate cycle has likely passed. For institutional investors, the market remains attractive, though future returns may depend more on timing and inflation trends than exceptionally high yields.

Katsina APC aspirant accuses authorities of detention to thwart primary bid

KKey points

Former APC House of Representatives aspirant, Ahmed Saleh, alleges he was detained by the Department of State Services (DSS) to stop him from participating in the Mani/Bindawa Federal Constituency primary in Katsina State.

He claims the alleged detention was carried out on the directive of Katsina State Governor, Dikko Umaru Radda.

Saleh says he was held throughout the duration of the primary and only released after voting and collation had ended.

The APC primary was won by Hajiya Jamila Abdu Mani, who polled 24,989 votes, while Saleh secured 1,256 votes.

The governor’s media aide has dismissed the allegations, insisting that governors cannot direct security agencies such as the DSS.

Main story

A former aspirant for the All Progressives Congress (APC) ticket for the Mani/Bindawa Federal Constituency in Katsina State, Ahmed Saleh, has alleged that he was detained by operatives of the Department of State Services (DSS) to prevent him from participating in the party’s primary election.

Saleh made the allegation shortly after the controversial primary election held under the All Progressives Congress, where official results declared Hajiya Jamila Abdu Mani the winner with a wide margin.

The result was announced by the Chairman of the APC Electoral Committee for the constituency, Shafi’u Abdu Duwan, who confirmed Mani’s victory over Saleh.

According to Saleh, however, he was unable to take part in the exercise because he was allegedly taken into custody and held until the process was concluded.

He maintained that what was presented as a direct primary in the constituency was not fairly conducted due to his absence.

The issues

The central dispute revolves around Saleh’s allegation that his detention was politically motivated and intended to influence the outcome of the APC primary election.

He argued that his inability to participate rendered the exercise unfair and amounted to a denial of his political rights within the party structure.

The allegations also raise questions about the involvement of security agencies in electoral processes and the credibility of internal party primaries.

What’s being said

“I got the shock of my life. DSS operatives came and accosted me to the state headquarters on the instructions of His Excellency, the Executive Governor, Dikko Umaru Radda that I should be arrested and detained and never allowed to go to Mani Local Government where the primary election was to take place”, Saleh said.

“It turned into a gathering of selected individuals who later announced results in favour of the governor’s aide”, Saleh added.

“It defies logic therefore for the aggrieved aspirant to accuse His Excellency, Governor Radda of his purported arrest or detention by the DSS.” — Maiwada Dammallam, Media aide to Governor Dikko Umaru Radda

“Governors are not constitutionally empowered to exercise authority over security agencies, the DSS in this regard”, Maiwada Dammallam stated.

What’s next

The allegations are likely to intensify scrutiny within the APC over the conduct of its primaries in Katsina State.

Further clarification from the DSS may be necessary to establish the circumstances surrounding the alleged detention.

The party is expected to face continued internal debate as stakeholders assess the credibility of the exercise.

Bottom line

While the APC has declared a winner for the Mani/Bindawa primary, Ahmed Saleh’s allegations of detention and exclusion have cast a shadow over the process, leaving the dispute politically unresolved.

Major bills before National Assembly could reshape Nigeria’s business environment in 2026

President Buhari Applauds 9th National Assembly

By Boluwatife Oshadiya | May 18, 2026

Key Points

  • Seven major bills before the National Assembly could significantly alter Nigeria’s regulatory, fintech, mining, media, and maritime sectors
  • Proposed legislation includes plans for a fintech regulator, a 50-year economic framework, and tighter alcohol industry controls
  • Several of the bills are already at advanced legislative stages, including second reading in the House of Representatives

Main Story

Nigeria’s evolving legislative agenda could significantly redefine the country’s business environment in 2026, as lawmakers consider a series of bills targeting key sectors including fintech, mining, energy, media regulation, and maritime development.

The proposed laws, currently before the National Assembly, reflect broader efforts by lawmakers to address long-standing regulatory gaps, strengthen institutional oversight, and stimulate investment across critical sectors of the economy.

Among the most closely watched proposals is the Bill to Establish the Nigeria Fintech Regulatory Commission (NFRC), sponsored by Hon. Fuad Kayode Laguda. The bill seeks to create a dedicated regulator for Nigeria’s fast-growing fintech ecosystem, which industry stakeholders argue is currently burdened by overlapping compliance requirements from multiple agencies.

Nigeria’s fintech sector has emerged as one of Africa’s largest digital finance markets, with reports showing more than 430 fintech firms operating in the country as of 2025. Nine leading companies in the sector reportedly held a combined valuation of $10.6 billion by January 2026.

Lawmakers are also considering the National Blue Economy Growth, Jobs and Credit Guarantee Bill, sponsored by Rep. Thomas Ereyitomi. The legislation is designed to unlock investment opportunities within Nigeria’s maritime economy through structured financing and sectoral reforms.

In the extractive sector, the Nigerian Minerals and Mining Act (Amendment) Bill, 2026, sponsored by Hon. Kabiru Amadu Mai-Palace, seeks to revise the country’s mining framework by addressing disputes around mining rights, improving host community protections, and redefining the balance of authority between federal and state governments.

Despite Nigeria’s vast mineral deposits, the mining sector contributed less than one percent to the country’s Gross Domestic Product as of 2025, according to industry estimates, largely due to illegal mining activities, weak infrastructure, and low investor confidence.

Another major proposal is the Bill Seeking to Establish a 50-Year National Economic Plan for Nigeria, sponsored by Amobi Ogah. The bill aims to create a long-term economic planning institution responsible for implementing and monitoring a national development framework covering 2026 to 2076.

The proposed framework is intended to address policy inconsistencies that have historically disrupted economic continuity across successive administrations.

The National Assembly is also reviewing the National Alcohol Control Bill, 2025, sponsored by Hon. Adelegbe Oluwatimehin, which seeks stricter controls over alcohol production, advertising, distribution, and consumption.

Industry operators have expressed concerns that tighter restrictions could affect manufacturers, distributors, advertisers, and hospitality businesses operating within the alcohol value chain.

In the energy sector, lawmakers are considering amendments to the West African Gas Pipeline Project Act. The amendment bill seeks to empower the West African Gas Pipeline Authority (WAGPA) to implement a new licensing regime for companies transporting gas through the regional pipeline network.

The development comes as Nigeria continues to dominate gas supply to the regional infrastructure. Minister of State for Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, recently disclosed that Nigeria currently supplies more than 68 percent of the gas flowing through the 678-kilometre subsea pipeline.

Meanwhile, proposed amendments to the Cybercrimes (Prohibition, Prevention, etc.) Act, sponsored by Hon. Akintunde Rotimi, are drawing attention from media and civil society groups. The amendment seeks to clarify Section 24 of the law to prevent what critics describe as vague interpretations capable of criminalising investigative journalism and whistleblowing activities.

The proposed changes would encourage civil remedies for public-interest publication disputes while exempting journalists and whistleblowers from prosecution where confidential information is lawfully obtained.

What’s Being Said

“A 50-year national economic plan for Nigeria, 2026–2076, represents a bold and transformative legislative initiative aimed at addressing one of the country’s persistent development challenges — policy inconsistency and short-term economic planning,” said Amobi Ogah, sponsor of the long-term economic planning bill.

“Operators are expected to structure their commercial relationships in a manner consistent with Nigerian law,” the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Commission stated earlier this year while defending new digital lending compliance requirements affecting telecom operators.

“Nigeria loses an estimated ₦428 billion annually to illicit trade in spirits and wines,” said Tony Okwoju, Director-General of the Spirits and Wines Association of Nigeria (SWAN), while speaking on the need for stronger industry regulation.

What’s Next

  • The Cybercrimes Amendment Bill is expected to proceed to formal legislative consideration after its scheduled first reading
  • The West African Gas Pipeline Project Amendment Bill has already advanced to second reading in the House of Representatives
  • Stakeholders across the fintech, mining, and alcohol industries are expected to intensify lobbying efforts as committee-level reviews begin in the coming months

Bottom Line

Nigeria’s legislative agenda for 2026 signals a broader attempt to tighten regulation while simultaneously creating new frameworks for long-term investment and sectoral growth. How effectively these bills balance oversight with business competitiveness could shape investor confidence and economic expansion across multiple industries in the years ahead.

Bitcoin climbs as Italy’s largest bank expands crypto exposure

Byline: By BizWatch Nigeria Reporter

Key Points

  • Bitcoin rebounded by about 1% to trade around $78,500 after recent sell pressure.
  • Italy’s largest bank, Intesa Sanpaolo, reportedly doubled its crypto-related holdings to $235 million in Q1 2026.
  • Institutional demand from traditional financial firms is strengthening long-term sentiment in the digital asset market.
  • Comments from Strategy chairman Michael Saylor about potential Bitcoin sales added short-term uncertainty to the market.

Main Story

Bitcoin staged a modest recovery in the cryptocurrency market, climbing by approximately 1% to trade around $78,500 as renewed institutional interest helped improve investor sentiment.

The recovery follows a sharp selloff that pushed the world’s largest cryptocurrency below the $80,000 threshold after failing to break above a key resistance level near $82,000.

Market data showed Bitcoin briefly fell below $79,000, while trading volumes declined significantly over the weekend as investors reacted to rising macroeconomic pressures.

Analysts attributed the recent weakness in crypto markets to a combination of geopolitical tensions linked to the Iran conflict, elevated oil prices, and rising global bond yields, all of which contributed to broader risk-off sentiment across financial markets.

Despite the pressure, market confidence improved after reports emerged that Italy’s largest bank, Intesa Sanpaolo, increased its crypto-related exposure to approximately $235 million during the first quarter of 2026.

The banking giant reportedly expanded its positions in Bitcoin and Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs) while also initiating a new stake in XRP-related products.

The development reflects a growing trend among European financial institutions moving deeper into digital asset services and regulated crypto investments.

Market analysts believe increasing participation from major banks and institutional investors could provide stronger long-term support for Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem.

The approval and expansion of crypto ETFs in major financial markets have also contributed to the growing integration of digital assets into traditional finance.

However, the market continues to face short-term uncertainty following comments from Michael Saylor, executive chairman of Strategy, formerly known as MicroStrategy.

Saylor recently indicated that the company could sell limited amounts of Bitcoin if necessary, representing a notable shift from its long-standing position of holding the asset indefinitely.

He clarified that Strategy remains committed to being a long-term net buyer of Bitcoin and suggested that any future sales would primarily demonstrate the cryptocurrency’s utility as a corporate treasury asset.

The comments came as Strategy moves ahead with a $1.5 billion note buyback programme, with Bitcoin sales listed among potential funding options.

Strategy remains one of the world’s largest corporate holders of Bitcoin, making its market decisions closely watched by investors and analysts.

What’s Being Said

Market analysts say Bitcoin’s recent price movement increasingly mirrors traditional risk-sensitive assets such as the Russell 2000 Index, reinforcing its role as a risk-on investment.

Analysts also noted that growing exposure from major European banks validates digital assets within regulated financial systems and strengthens long-term institutional adoption.

However, some investors remain cautious over the possibility of additional Bitcoin supply entering the market if large corporate holders decide to sell portions of their holdings.

What’s Next

Investors are expected to closely monitor macroeconomic developments, including global interest rate trends, oil price movements, and geopolitical tensions, for further direction in crypto markets.

Market participants are also watching for additional institutional adoption from banks, asset managers, and public companies as the digital asset industry matures.

Bitcoin’s ability to reclaim and sustain levels above $80,000 could become a major short-term indicator for broader market sentiment.

Bottom Line

Bitcoin’s rebound highlights the growing influence of institutional investors in shaping crypto market sentiment. While macroeconomic uncertainty and potential corporate Bitcoin sales continue to pressure prices in the short term, expanding participation from major financial institutions could strengthen long-term confidence in digital assets.

FX challenges force Dangote out of flour, textile businesses

Byline: By BizWatch Nigeria Reporter

Key Points

  • Aliko Dangote says persistent foreign exchange volatility forced his exit from Nigeria’s flour and textile sectors.
  • The billionaire industrialist disclosed that rising operational costs and difficulty accessing FX made the businesses unsustainable.
  • Dangote Group is now concentrating on export-driven sectors including cement, fertiliser, petrochemicals, and refining.
  • Dangote also revealed he abandoned plans to acquire Arsenal Football Club to focus on completing the Dangote Refinery project.

Main Story

President of the Dangote Group, Aliko Dangote, has disclosed that severe foreign exchange challenges and mounting operational pressures forced him to exit Nigeria’s flour and textile industries, marking a major strategic shift in the evolution of one of Africa’s largest conglomerates.

Dangote made the disclosure during an interview with Nicolai Tangen, released on YouTube on May 14, 2026, where he reflected on the business decisions that reshaped the Dangote Group over the years.

According to the billionaire businessman, the persistent difficulty in accessing foreign exchange for industrial production significantly weakened the viability of operating in the flour and textile sectors. He explained that manufacturers dependent on imported machinery, raw materials, and industrial inputs have continued to face pressure from currency instability and rising production costs.

Nigeria’s manufacturing sector has struggled in recent years due to FX scarcity, high inflation, rising energy costs, and supply chain disruptions. Several manufacturers have either scaled down operations or exited specific business lines as the cost of importing production materials surged following the depreciation of the naira.

Dangote stated that the experience reinforced his decision to focus on industries capable of generating stronger export earnings and improving long-term dollar liquidity for the group.

Today, the Dangote Group’s core investments are concentrated in cement, fertiliser, petrochemicals, and oil refining. These sectors are expected to strengthen Nigeria’s export capacity while helping improve foreign exchange inflows into the economy.

The billionaire industrialist disclosed that the group is already performing strongly in exports and plans to pay future dividends in dollars across major business divisions, including the refinery, petrochemical, fertiliser, and cement businesses.

Dangote also reflected on the sacrifices made while building his industrial empire. He revealed that he sold his private properties in the United States and the United Kingdom to channel more resources into his industrial projects.

He further disclosed that he abandoned his long-standing ambition of acquiring English Premier League club Arsenal F.C., despite seriously considering the purchase when the club was valued at around $2 billion.

According to him, committing such capital to football ownership would have distracted from the completion of the multibillion-dollar Dangote Refinery and other strategic investments.

The Dangote Refinery, located in Lagos, is regarded as one of Africa’s largest single-train refineries and is expected to significantly reduce Nigeria’s dependence on imported refined petroleum products.

What’s Being Said

Dangote said the realities of Nigeria’s FX market made continued investment in flour and textile manufacturing increasingly difficult.

He noted that the group’s future strategy is now focused on export-oriented industries capable of generating stable foreign currency earnings.

The billionaire businessman also maintained that completing the refinery project represented a more impactful contribution to Nigeria’s economy than pursuing ownership of a football club.

What’s Next

Industry analysts expect large Nigerian manufacturers to continue restructuring operations as FX volatility and production costs remain major concerns for the private sector.

Economic stakeholders are also watching the performance of the Dangote Refinery and other export-focused projects as the Federal Government intensifies efforts to stabilise the naira and boost foreign exchange earnings.

The manufacturing sector is expected to remain under pressure unless access to FX improves and broader macroeconomic conditions stabilise.

Bottom Line

Dangote’s exit from the flour and textile industries highlights the growing pressure Nigeria’s foreign exchange crisis continues to place on manufacturers. While the Dangote Group is repositioning toward export-driven sectors with stronger dollar earnings, the development also underscores the broader structural challenges facing industrial production in Africa’s largest economy.

NGX gains ₦3.34 trillion as year-to-date return hits 61%

Capital Market Goes Green Ahead Of 2022 Corporate Earnings

By Boluwatife Oshadiya, Markets Reporter | May 18, 2026, 12:10 AM

Key Points

  • NGX market capitalisation rose by ₦3.34 trillion to close at ₦160.44 trillion
  • All-Share Index advanced 2.27% week-on-week to 250,330.92 points
  • Banking, industrial goods, insurance, and consumer goods stocks drove market gains

Main Story

The Nigerian equities market extended its bullish momentum last week as investors added approximately ₦3.34 trillion to the Nigerian Exchange (NGX), pushing the market’s year-to-date return to 60.87%.

Trading data showed the NGX All-Share Index (ASI) climbed by 2.27% week-on-week to settle at 250,330.92 points, while total market capitalisation rose to ₦160.44 trillion, supported by renewed buying interest in large-cap banking and industrial stocks.

The rally was driven largely by gains in heavyweight counters including banking stocks, cement manufacturers, and select consumer goods companies, as investors continued positioning around strong corporate earnings expectations and ongoing market liquidity.

Market breadth closed positive at 2.24x, with 65 gainers outperforming 29 losers, reflecting broad-based investor appetite despite increasing profit-taking activities in some counters.

Trading activity also remained resilient during the week. Investors traded 7.53 billion shares valued at ₦359.93 billion across 398,655 deals. Although the number of deals declined by 14.18% week-on-week, traded volume and value rose by 13.47% and 15.93% respectively.

Sector performance remained largely positive. The NGX Industrial Goods Index led sectoral gains after rising 4.66%, buoyed by strong performances from cement manufacturers including Dangote Cement, Lafarge Africa and BUA Cement.

The Banking Index advanced 2.82%, supported by gains in United Bank for Africa, Access Holdings, Ecobank and Fidelity Bank.

On the gainers’ chart, Berger Paints led the market with a 55.57% appreciation to close at ₦168.95. Other strong performers included SCOA Plc, Daar Communications, Fidson Healthcare, Learn Africa, and Mecure Industries.

However, losses were recorded in select counters including Zichis Agro Allied Industries, NCR Nigeria, Custodian Investment, and Stanbic IBTC Holdings as investors booked profits after recent rallies.

The Issues

The sustained market rally reflects increasing investor confidence in Nigerian equities amid improving corporate earnings and expectations of stronger dividend payouts across major sectors.

Analysts also note that investors are gradually rotating away from fixed-income instruments as inflation-adjusted returns remain pressured despite elevated interest rates. This has redirected liquidity toward equities, particularly fundamentally strong banking and industrial stocks.

However, the sharp rise in the market has also pushed several counters into overbought territory, increasing the likelihood of short-term corrections if profit-taking intensifies. Market watchers are also monitoring macroeconomic risks including inflationary pressure, exchange rate volatility, and monetary tightening by the Central Bank of Nigeria.

What’s Being Said

“Selective buying is likely to persist in strong sectors such as banking, industrial goods, and consumer stocks, while oil and gas and commodity counters may remain weak,” Cowry Asset Management Limited said in its weekly market note.

“Overall sentiment stays constructive, but volatility may increase as the market consolidates recent gains and reacts to macroeconomic developments,” the investment firm added.

Independent market analysts also noted that institutional investors continue to dominate trading activity as foreign portfolio participation gradually improves following relative stability in the foreign exchange market.

What’s Next

  • Investors are expected to continue monitoring half-year earnings expectations and dividend outlooks across major listed companies
  • Market attention is likely to remain on banking, industrial, and consumer goods stocks amid sustained institutional buying
  • Analysts expect increased volatility in the near term as profit-taking activities emerge after the recent rally

The Bottom Line: The Nigerian equities market remains one of the strongest-performing exchanges globally in 2026, with banking and industrial stocks continuing to anchor investor confidence. However, with the market approaching extended valuation territory, sustaining the rally will increasingly depend on corporate earnings strength and broader macroeconomic stability.

US dollar climbs on safe-haven demand amid Middle East tensions

Dollars

By Boluwatife Oshadiya, Global Markets Correspondent | May 18, 2026, 12:18 AM

Key Points

  • US dollar strengthened as investors sought safe-haven assets amid escalating geopolitical tensions
  • EUR/USD and GBP/USD weakened after falling below key technical support levels
  • Traders are now pricing in a possible US Federal Reserve rate hike in 2027

Main Story

The US dollar strengthened against major global currencies last week, climbing to its highest level in nearly a month as rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East fueled demand for safe-haven assets.

Investor sentiment shifted toward the greenback amid growing concerns that prolonged regional conflict and higher oil prices could intensify inflationary pressures globally, particularly across Europe and other energy-dependent economies.

Currency markets reflected the renewed risk-off sentiment. The euro weakened further after the EUR/USD pair dropped below the 50% midpoint retracement of its rally from March lows, settling beneath the key 1.16287 technical level.

The British pound also lost ground, with GBP/USD slipping below the 61.8% retracement level at 1.33496, signaling increasing downside pressure after buyers failed to sustain bullish momentum.

Meanwhile, the Japanese yen remained under pressure as USD/JPY traded above the critical 157.97–158.26 support zone, keeping the dollar technically favored despite cautious trading activity.

Market uncertainty intensified following renewed tensions involving Iran and the United States, with concerns over energy supply disruptions continuing to support oil prices. Investors also reacted cautiously after diplomatic engagements between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping ended without major breakthroughs.

Recent US inflation data further strengthened expectations that inflationary pressure may persist longer than anticipated. Both Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) reports indicated continued energy-driven inflation risks in the US economy.

As a result, traders are increasingly pricing in the possibility of at least one Federal Reserve interest rate hike by March 2027, with expectations that tighter monetary conditions could remain in place through the end of 2026.

The Issues

The latest dollar rally highlights how geopolitical instability continues to reshape global capital flows, particularly during periods of heightened uncertainty.

Rising oil prices remain a major concern for European economies, many of which remain vulnerable to imported energy shocks. A prolonged increase in energy costs could weaken industrial activity, pressure household spending, and complicate inflation management for central banks across the Eurozone.

At the same time, stronger US economic resilience and higher interest rate expectations are making dollar-denominated assets increasingly attractive to global investors, widening the divergence between the Federal Reserve and several other central banks.

What’s Being Said

“The inability of the euro to hold above key retracement levels gives sellers more control in the short term,” currency analysts noted in weekly market commentary.

“Markets are increasingly betting that geopolitical tensions and energy inflation could delay any meaningful easing by the Federal Reserve,” analysts added.

Independent market strategists also warned that continued uncertainty in the Middle East could sustain volatility across global currency and commodity markets in the coming weeks.

What’s Next

  • Investors will closely monitor upcoming US inflation and labour market data for signals on Federal Reserve policy direction
  • Currency traders are expected to watch developments in the Middle East for potential impacts on oil supply and inflation expectations
  • Markets will also focus on upcoming central bank meetings across the US, Europe, and Asia

The Bottom Line: The latest rally in the US dollar underscores how geopolitical instability and inflation fears continue to reinforce the currency’s safe-haven appeal. Unless tensions ease significantly, the dollar could remain supported as investors seek protection from growing global economic uncertainty.

Nigerian stocks extend rally as banking, industrial shares lead gains

By Boluwatife Oshadiya, Capital Markets Reporter | May 18, 2026, 12:27 AM

Key Points

  • NGX All-Share Index gained 2.27% to close at 250,330.92 points
  • Banking and industrial goods stocks powered the market rally
  • Berger Paints emerged as the week’s top-performing stock, rising 55.57%

Main Story

Nigerian equities closed the week ended May 15, 2026 on a strong positive note as renewed investor appetite for premium banking and industrial stocks lifted the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) benchmark index above the 250,000-point threshold.

The NGX All-Share Index advanced by 2.27% to close at 250,330.92 points, gaining 5,555.09 basis points from the previous week’s close of 244,775.83. Market capitalisation also climbed above ₦160.4 trillion amid sustained buying momentum across major sectors.

Trading activity strengthened during the week, with investors exchanging approximately 7.7 billion shares across 402,945 deals, compared with 7.07 billion shares recorded in the previous trading week.

Large-cap stocks remained the key drivers of the rally. The NGX Premium Index rose by 4.39%, supported by gains in United Bank for Africa, Access Holdings, Dangote Cement, First Holdco, Zenith Bank and MTN Nigeria.

Sectoral performance remained broadly positive. The NGX Industrial Goods Index emerged as the strongest-performing sector after gaining 4.66%, while the Banking Index rose 2.82% on the back of strong investor positioning in financial stocks.

Among individual equities, Berger Paints led the gainers’ chart with a 55.57% increase to ₦168.95. Other major gainers included SCOA Plc, Daar Communications, Fidson Healthcare, Learn Africa, and Mecure Industries.

On the downside, Zichis Agro Allied Industries led decliners after shedding 11.78%, followed by The Initiates Plc, NPF Microfinance Bank, NCR Nigeria, and Custodian Investment.

The market also witnessed several major corporate disclosures during the week. Abbey Mortgage Bank announced plans to seek shareholder approval for a ₦164.5 billion capital raise, while First Holdco disclosed plans to raise ₦253 billion through equity issuance.

What’s Being Said

“Premium stocks were at the heart of the latest rally, reflecting strong large-cap-driven momentum across the market,” market analysts said in weekly trading notes.

“However, the All-Share Index now appears stretched in overbought territory, raising the risk of a pullback if sentiment shifts or selling pressure emerges in heavyweight stocks,” analysts added.

Independent traders also noted that investors remain optimistic about earnings resilience in the banking and industrial sectors despite broader macroeconomic concerns.

What’s Next

  • Investors are expected to monitor upcoming corporate earnings releases and capital-raising activities across the banking sector
  • Market participants will watch for possible profit-taking as valuations continue to rise sharply
  • Analysts expect continued focus on large-cap banking and industrial stocks in the near term

The Bottom Line: Nigerian equities continue to attract strong investor interest as institutional demand drives momentum in heavyweight stocks. However, with valuations increasingly stretched after months of aggressive gains, the market may face intermittent pullbacks even as long-term sentiment remains positive.

Federal government rolls out $74bn livestock economy blueprint

Key points

  • The Federal Government plans to grow Nigeria’s livestock economy from $32 billion to $74 billion within 10 years.
  • A $300 million African Development Bank support package will fund feed production, animal health, breed improvement and rural infrastructure.
  • Government says the initiative is anchored on the National Livestock Transformation Plan.
  • Nigeria’s participation in the Special Agro-Industrial Processing Zones Programme has attracted over $530 million investment to Ogun State.
  • Officials say the livestock sector is being repositioned as a major driver of jobs, food security and exports.

Main story

The Federal Government has unveiled an ambitious roadmap aimed at transforming Nigeria’s livestock sector into a $74 billion economy over the next decade as part of broader efforts to boost agricultural productivity and economic diversification.

Minister of Livestock Development, Idi Mukhtar Maiha, disclosed the plan during the 28th Global Convention and 27th Annual Lecture of the Federal University of Agriculture, Abeokuta (FUNAAB) Alumni Association held in Ogun State.

Represented by his Senior Special Adviser on Knowledge Management and Communication, Richard-Mark Mbaram, the minister said the strategy is backed by a $300 million support package from the African Development Bank targeted at strengthening feed production, animal health systems, breed improvement and rural infrastructure.

He added that Nigeria’s involvement in the Special Agro-Industrial Processing Zones Programme has already attracted over $530 million in investments to Ogun State alone.

According to the minister, the establishment of a dedicated Ministry of Livestock Development by President Bola Tinubu represents a major policy shift aimed at unlocking value across the meat, dairy, poultry and allied industries.

The issues

Nigeria’s livestock industry has long been hindered by poor infrastructure, low productivity, inadequate financing and outdated production systems, limiting its contribution to the broader economy despite the country’s vast agricultural potential.

Stakeholders say transforming the sector into a structured, commercially driven ecosystem is critical to addressing food insecurity, unemployment and weak export performance.

Concerns also remain around post-harvest losses, weak value chains and the country’s inability to fully harness opportunities within modern agro-processing systems.

Experts argue that without sustained investment, improved infrastructure and policy consistency, the sector may struggle to achieve its long-term growth targets.

What’s being said

Speaking at the event, Maiha said the livestock sector must now be viewed as a modern economic ecosystem rather than a subsistence activity.

“The livestock sector is no longer a subsistence activity, it is a business ecosystem,” he stated.

The minister also highlighted the sector’s role in improving child nutrition through an expanded school feeding programme supported by a $20 million grant from development partners.

Delivering a lecture titled, “A MEGATREND Approach to Creating Long-Term Business and Investment in an Evolving Economy,” industrialist Alhaji Goke Adeyemi called for practical reforms to address inefficiencies within Nigeria’s agricultural sector.

What’s next

The Federal Government is expected to intensify implementation of the National Livestock Transformation Plan alongside new financing and infrastructure initiatives aimed at modernising livestock production nationwide.

Discussions are also ongoing around a proposed partnership between the FUNAAB Alumni Association and the Federal Ministry of Livestock Development to convert the university’s farm hub into a national innovation and demonstration centre.

Industry stakeholders will be watching closely to see how quickly funding, infrastructure projects and policy reforms are deployed to drive the sector’s expansion targets.

Bottom line

The Federal Government’s push to grow Nigeria’s livestock economy to $74 billion signals a broader attempt to reposition agriculture as a major pillar of economic growth, food security and export expansion.

However, analysts say achieving the target will depend largely on sustained investment, effective policy implementation and the government’s ability to modernise the country’s livestock value chain beyond traditional production systems.

Nigeria’s export growth continues, but manufacturing remains marginal

Key points

  • Nigeria’s total export value rose to N85.13 trillion in 2025, according to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).
  • Manufactured exports contributed only 2.94 per cent of total exports, continuing a four-year stagnation trend.
  • Industry stakeholders blame high production costs, poor infrastructure and weak policy implementation for the decline.
  • Exporters say Nigeria is failing to maximise opportunities under the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA).
  • Analysts warn that export growth remains largely commodity-driven, with limited industrial value addition.

Main story

Nigeria’s manufacturing sector continues to struggle for relevance in the country’s export economy despite a sharp rise in overall trade value, latest data from the National Bureau of Statistics has shown.

According to the NBS, total exports increased by 9.93 per cent year-on-year to N85.13 trillion in 2025. However, manufactured exports stood at N2.5 trillion, accounting for just 2.94 per cent of total exports — slightly lower than the 2.96 per cent recorded in 2024.

The figures highlight a persistent stagnation in the contribution of manufactured goods to Nigeria’s export basket over the last four years, despite consistent growth in overall export earnings.

In contrast, manufactured exports accounted for 5.21 per cent of total exports in 2021, underscoring the sector’s declining share in the country’s trade structure.


The issues

Industry stakeholders say the weak performance reflects deep structural problems within Nigeria’s manufacturing and export ecosystem.

Manufacturers cited high energy costs, poor infrastructure, logistics challenges and policy inconsistencies as major factors undermining competitiveness in international markets.

Stakeholders also pointed to weak quality assurance systems, poor packaging and certification issues, which continue to result in the rejection of Nigerian products abroad.

According to exporters, Nigeria’s heavy dependence on raw and minimally processed exports further exposes the country’s failure to build a strong value-added industrial base.

Concerns have also been raised over the country’s inability to fully leverage opportunities presented by the African Continental Free Trade Area despite access to a massive regional market.


What’s being said

Chairman of the Manufacturers Association of Nigeria Export Promotion Group (MANEG), Mrs Odiri Erewa-Meggison, said Nigeria’s problem lies more in execution than market access.

“Nigeria does not have a market access problem; we have an execution problem. African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) presents a $3.4 trillion opportunity across 1.3 billion people, but access without readiness delivers no value,” she stated.

She disclosed that over 70 per cent of Nigerian food exports are rejected internationally, while about 30 per cent of manufactured exports fail due to packaging, labelling and certification deficiencies.

Director-General of the Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN), Segun Ajayi-Kadir, said rising production costs continue to weaken local manufacturers.

“You cannot compete globally when your cost of production is significantly higher than your competitors. That is the reality Nigerian manufacturers face daily,” he said.

Chief Executive Officer of the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise (CPPE), Muda Yusuf, described the trend as evidence of a deeper structural imbalance.

“What we are seeing is growth without industrial depth. Our export expansion is still commodity-driven, and until we scale up value addition, manufacturing will remain insignificant in export performance,” he said.


What’s next

Stakeholders are calling for urgent reforms aimed at improving industrial competitiveness and export readiness.

Recommended measures include investment in infrastructure, affordable energy supply, improved logistics, stronger quality control systems and better access to export financing.

Industry players also want more effective implementation of AfCFTA policies to help Nigerian manufacturers compete more favourably across regional and global markets.


Bottom line

While Nigeria’s export earnings continue to rise, the country’s manufacturing sector remains marginal in the broader trade landscape.

Analysts warn that without deliberate efforts to strengthen value-added production and industrial capacity, Nigeria’s export growth may continue to expand on paper without delivering meaningful economic transformation or sustainable industrial development.

Investing in boy-child development will curb domestic violence, says former NBA chairman

Key points

  • Former NBA Abuja Chairman Afam Okeke stated that raising the boy-child intentionally is critical to reducing gender-based and domestic violence in Nigeria.
  • Okeke made the remarks during an interview in Abuja to mark the 2026 International Day of the Boy-Child, celebrated annually on May 16.
  • This year’s theme, ‘Flourish and Thrive: Investing in Boys for Stronger Families and Communities’, focuses on mentorship and emotional well-being.
  • The legal practitioner criticized cultural inclinations that assume boys are naturally resilient, leading to societal neglect of their specific challenges.
  • He called for teaching boys emotional intelligence, domestic responsibility, and respect for women to build a gender-balanced society.

Main Story

The former Chairman of the Nigerian Bar Association Abuja branch, Afam Okeke, has stated that raising the boy-child into a responsible adult man will help curb gender and domestic violence in the country.

Okeke disclosed this in an interview with the News Agency of Nigeria on Saturday in Abuja in commemoration of the 2026 International Day of the Boy-Child. He noted that the challenges of domestic, sexual, and social violence will become easier to handle if the boy-child is fully involved through proper guidance, support, and empowerment.

The legal practitioner explained that society has traditionally perceived the boy-child as being strong and resilient, thereby paying little or no attention to issues affecting male children.

He stated that there is an urgent need to address emotional mentorship, value-based upbringing, and basic household skills so that boys can become true partners in their future homes.

Okeke added that teaching boys to safely express and regulate their emotions builds better mental health, reduces aggression, and helps replace cultural habits of dominance with fairness and accountability.

The Issues

  • Persistent cultural stereotypes create a systemic blind spot, causing families and policymakers to ignore the emotional vulnerabilities and mental health struggles unique to young males.
  • The lack of structured mentorship programs for boys leaves a vacuum that exposes them to negative societal influences, peer pressure, and aggressive behaviors.
  • Traditional gender roles in homes continue to limit the domestic training of boys, hindering the development of shared responsibility in adult relationships.

What’s Being Said

  • “Beyond academics and success, there is a growing need to address emotional and health mentorship, and value based upbringing of the boy-child,” Afam Okeke stated.
  • “Strength is not just physical; it is also emotional intelligence, discipline and character,” Okeke added during the interview.
  • “As a society, we must be intentional about raising boys who are confident, responsible, respectful, and equipped to lead with integrity,” he emphasized.
  • “We perceive the boy-child as being strong and resilient, thereby paying little or no attention to issues affecting male children,” the former NBA chairman noted.
  • “The future we desire begins with the boys we raise today,” he concluded.

What’s Next

  • Non-governmental organizations and gender advocates are expected to launch new community initiatives targeting value-based upbringing and peer mentorship for boys.
  • Civil society groups will likely increase pressure on schools to incorporate emotional intelligence and life skills training into their extracurricular frameworks.
  • Community leaders will be encouraged to create safe spaces where young males can discuss mental health challenges and seek psychological support without stigma.

Bottom Line

Addressing Nigeria’s domestic violence crisis requires a fundamental shift toward the intentional upbringing of young males, moving past harmful stereotypes to cultivate emotional intelligence and mutual respect from childhood.

LCCI urges consolidation of economic reforms as inflation strains manufacturing sector

LCCI Hints On Tech Disruptions

Key points

  • The Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI) has urged the government to consolidate macroeconomic reforms to relieve under-pressure manufacturers and MSMEs.
  • National Bureau of Statistics data showed Nigeria’s headline inflation rate rose marginally to 15.69 per cent in April from 15.38 per cent in March.
  • Month-on-month inflation moderated from 4.18 per cent to 2.13 per cent, indicating a gradual easing in the pace of price increases.
  • The higher rural inflation rate of 16.36 per cent was attributed to ongoing supply chain disruptions and insecurity in food-producing regions.
  • LCCI suggested that Nigeria prioritize domestic urea production and crude supply to local refineries to counter global shocks from the Middle East crisis.

Main Story

The Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry has urged the government to consolidate its ongoing macroeconomic reforms as inflation continues to weigh heavily on manufacturers, small businesses, traders, and consumers.

The Director-General of the chamber, Dr Chinyere Almona, gave the advice in a statement issued in Lagos while reacting to the latest inflation figures released by the National Bureau of Statistics.

Almona reported that Nigeria’s headline inflation rate had risen marginally to 15.69 per cent in April from the 15.38 per cent recorded in March.

The report indicated that despite the marginal increase in headline inflation, a sharp moderation in month-on-month inflation from 4.18 per cent to 2.13 per cent signaled a gradual easing in the pace of price increases.

Almona noted that while annual inflation had declined significantly from the 26.82 per cent recorded in April 2025, businesses and households were yet to experience meaningful relief.

She added that durable price stability would require stronger coordination between fiscal and monetary authorities, alongside targeted strategies to boost local crude production and scale up domestic urea manufacturing to secure food supply chains.

The Issues

  • Elevated rural inflation rates continue to signal deep-seated supply chain deficiencies, weak rural distribution networks, and persistent insecurity across vital agrarian zones.
  • Drastically weakened consumer purchasing power and high operating costs prevent domestic manufacturers from capitalising fully on the cooling month-on-month inflationary pace.
  • Escallating geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East threaten the domestic agricultural sector by disrupting international urea supplies, making local fertilizer independence an urgent priority.

What’s Being Said

  • “The chamber observes that inflation continues to weigh heavily on manufacturers, MSMEs, traders and consumers, through rising costs of food, transportation, energy and logistics,” Dr Chinyere Almona said.
  • “The higher rural inflation rate of 16.36 per cent also highlights ongoing supply chain disruptions, insecurity in food-producing areas and weak distribution infrastructure,” Almona added in the statement.
  • “The LCCI reiterates that durable price stability can only be achieved through productivity-driven reforms, improved infrastructure, enhanced food security and a more business-friendly operating environment,” she emphasized.
  • “We need an indigenous plan to boost crude production and increase crude supply to local refineries, in order to reduce fuel import bills,” the Director-General noted regarding energy security.

What’s Next

  • Fiscal authorities are expected to come under pressure to deploy infrastructure interventions aimed at reducing logistics and transport costs for agricultural produce.
  • The central bank and finance ministry will likely seek closer policy alignment to stabilize the foreign exchange market and anchor long-term inflation expectations.
  • Industrial planners will look into strategies to reposition the oil and gas industry to scale up domestic refining and secure gas supply partnerships with international markets.

Bottom Line

The marginal rise in headline inflation to 15.69 per cent highlights the stubborn nature of structural costs in Nigeria, prompting organized private sector leaders to demand structural, productivity-driven policies to cement the broader downward trend.

President Tinubu assures diaspora community of restoring Nigeria’s global standing

Key points

  • President Bola Tinubu met with the Nigerian community in Kigali, Rwanda, promising to restore Nigeria’s international reputation.
  • The President stated that domestic economic reforms are working and the national economy is becoming bright and stable.
  • Ahead of policy adjustments, Tinubu instructed the Charge d’Affaires in Rwanda to address localized diaspora concerns with administrative bodies.
  • The Chairman of the Association of Nigerians in Rwanda highlighted critical operational gaps, including the lack of a passport processing office in Kigali.
  • Sports executive Masai Ujiri expressed interest in mobilizing private investment to modernise Nigeria’s sports infrastructure.

Main Story

President Bola Tinubu has assured Nigerians residing in Rwanda of his administration’s commitment to restoring Nigeria’s global standing.

Presidential Spokesperson Bayo Onanuga disclosed this in a statement following an interactive session held in Kigali on Friday with academics, professionals, entrepreneurs, and students.

The President stated that his government would confront obstacles limiting citizens from achieving their aspirations both at home and across diaspora communities worldwide.

The report indicated that the President defended his administration’s ongoing economic interventions, noting that the reforms were yielding positive results in spite of initial implementation challenges.

Tinubu added that Nigeria would continue to be governed with transparency, fairness, and national interest above sectional considerations.

Responding to operational difficulties raised by the diaspora leadership, the President directed Nigeria’s Charge d’Affaires in Rwanda, Ibrahim Zanna, to coordinate with the Nigerians in Diaspora Commission to address visa and passport renewal constraints.

The Issues

  • The lack of a functional passport processing office at the Nigerian High Commission in Kigali forces citizens to travel long distances for renewals, creating severe documentation bottlenecks.
  • Aligning high-level diplomatic optimism with the everyday consular realities of the diaspora remains difficult due to bureaucratic delays in domestic agency feedback loops.
  • Mobilizing private capital for domestic sectors, such as sports infrastructure, requires robust legal frameworks to convert international diaspora interest into actual project executions.

What’s Being Said

  • “I thank you for being good ambassadors, and we are proud of what you are doing,” President Bola Tinubu said during the interactive forum.
  • “Our reforms are working, and the economy is bright and stable. We owe every Nigerian an enabling environment to break barriers and lead in all spheres,” Tinubu stated.
  • “The Green-White-Green flag means so much to all of us. None of us controls where we are born. Only God has that prerogative,” the President added.
  • Chairman of the Association of Nigerians in Rwanda, Umar Wali, noted that the community faces challenges “over visa processing and passport renewal difficulties facing Nigerians in Rwanda.”
  • Wali explained that “the Nigerian High Commission in Kigali currently lacked a functional passport processing office.”

What’s Next

  • The Nigerian High Commission in Kigali will collaborate with immigration authorities to establish a framework for localized passport issuance.
  • The Nigerians in Diaspora Commission will step up structural tracking of professional databases to map skill distribution among highly educated expatriates.
  • Sports ministry officials are expected to initiate exploratory talks with private investors regarding commercial infrastructure upgrades.

Bottom Line

President Tinubu’s engagement in Kigali highlights a dual focus on leveraging elite diaspora partnerships for national development while facing immediate pressure to fix basic consular infrastructure gaps abroad.

NEMA warns public after suspected hackers breach official website

By Boluwatife Oshadiya

Key Points

  • The National Emergency Management Agency (NEMA) confirmed that its official website was breached by suspected hackers.
  • The agency said technical teams are working to secure the platform and restore normal operations.
  • Nigerians have been warned to ignore suspicious messages, fake announcements, or fraudulent requests linked to the compromised website.
  • The incident adds to growing concerns over cybersecurity threats targeting public institutions in Nigeria.

Main Story

The National Emergency Management Agency (NEMA) has alerted Nigerians to an unauthorized breach of its official website, warning members of the public to avoid engaging with suspicious content or financial solicitations that may emerge from the compromised platform.

In a statement issued on May 15, 2026, the emergency management agency disclosed that suspected hackers gained unauthorized access to its digital platform, prompting an immediate technical response aimed at containing the breach and restoring normal operations.

According to the agency, efforts are currently underway to secure the website, investigate the nature of the attack, and strengthen its cybersecurity infrastructure against future threats.

NEMA advised the public to exercise caution while interacting with information connected to its website during the recovery period.

“The general public is strongly advised to disregard any suspicious content, misleading information, unauthorized announcements, or fraudulent solicitations for money that may appear on the compromised website or be circulated through related channels,” the agency stated.

The agency also apologised for any inconvenience caused by the incident and assured Nigerians that the situation is being addressed with urgency.

The development comes at a time when cyberattacks on government institutions, businesses, and critical public infrastructure are becoming increasingly common globally. In Nigeria, public agencies have faced growing pressure to improve digital security systems as more government services migrate online.

Cybersecurity analysts have repeatedly warned that attacks targeting official websites can expose sensitive information, disrupt public communication channels, and create opportunities for online fraudsters to exploit unsuspecting citizens.

What’s Being Said

NEMA said it remains committed to restoring full functionality to its website while ensuring the security of its digital platforms.

“The Agency regrets any inconvenience this situation may cause and assures the public that efforts are ongoing to resolve the issue promptly and strengthen the security of its digital platforms,” the statement added.

Although the agency did not disclose the extent of the breach or whether sensitive data was compromised, officials indicated that technical teams are actively investigating the incident.

What’s Next

NEMA is expected to complete a forensic review of the breach to determine how the attackers gained access to the platform and whether any internal systems or public data were affected.

The agency may also implement additional cybersecurity safeguards, including tighter access controls, enhanced monitoring systems, and stronger digital authentication protocols to prevent future incidents.

Industry observers expect the incident to renew conversations around cybersecurity readiness within Nigeria’s public sector, particularly as government agencies continue expanding their digital operations.

Bottom Line

The breach of NEMA’s official website highlights the growing cybersecurity risks facing public institutions in Nigeria’s expanding digital ecosystem. While the agency works to restore and secure its platform, the incident serves as another reminder of the need for stronger cyber defence systems across government infrastructure.

EU targets global energy partnerships to counter volatile fossil fuel markets

Key points

  • The European Union has called for an accelerated global energy transition to counter the strategic and economic costs of fossil fuel dependency.
  • Speaking at an ECOSOC special meeting, EU Ambassador Renaud Savignat emphasized that global electricity demand in 2025 grew 2.5 times faster than overall energy demand.
  • The EU is leveraging its Global Gateway strategy to invest €2 billion into 27 critical energy interconnection projects across Latin America and the Caribbean.
  • The diplomatic push aligns with domestic implementation of AccelerateEU, an emergency toolbox launched to tackle energy price spikes caused by the Middle East crisis.
  • Ongoing Just Energy Transition Partnerships are actively supporting nationally-led clean energy development in South Africa, Indonesia, Viet Nam, and Senegal.

Main Story

The European Union has called on international partners to dramatically accelerate the clean energy transition to protect global development from volatile fossil fuel markets.

Addressing the UN Economic and Social Council (ECOSOC) special meeting in New York, EU Ambassador to ECOSOC Renaud Savignat stated that structural dependence on fossil fuels had come at a very high economic and strategic cost, deepening poverty and straining national budgets.

The ambassador noted that the rapid expansion of clean energy had created a historic opportunity to reinforce global energy security, citing data from 2025 showing that global electricity demand had expanded at 2.5 times the pace of overall energy needs.

The report indicated that the EU was aggressively scaling up its international energy diplomacy alongside its domestic crisis response frameworks.

Savignat highlighted that the European Commission had recently deployed its AccelerateEU emergency package to counter severe price shocks arising from the conflict in the Middle East and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

He added that the EU was actively extending its sustainability goals abroad through the Global Gateway initiative, which had mobilized billions in funding for infrastructure development across Africa, Southeast Asia, and Latin America.

The Issues

  • Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven up the EU’s fossil fuel import spending, highlighting the extreme vulnerability of regions heavily reliant on traditional energy corridors.
  • Managing immediate consumer relief while keeping long-term decarbonization goals on track remains a delicate balancing act for governments facing severe near-term fiscal pressures.
  • Translating high-level international financial commitments into rapid, localized infrastructure development across emerging economies continues to face execution and supply chain hurdles.

What’s Being Said

  • “The message from this crisis is that fossil fuel dependency comes at a very high economic and strategic cost,” Ambassador Renaud Savignat stated during the ECOSOC plenary session.
  • The EU delegation emphasized that “the structural response must therefore be to accelerate the energy transition, and this means scaling up homegrown renewable and low-carbon energy.”
  • Regarding international investment frameworks, the delegation noted that “through Global Gateway, the EU is investing in regional interconnections and resilient energy infrastructure.”
  • Commenting on domestic action, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen recently affirmed that “the choices we make today will shape our ability to face the challenges of today and the crises of tomorrow.”

What’s Next

  • The European Commission will finalize its upcoming EU Electrification Action Plan to establish definitive targets for industrial, transport, and building sectors.
  • Member states will coordinate closely to utilize underground gas storages and manage emergency oil stock releases ahead of seasonal peak demands.
  • International climate finance coordinators will evaluate progress on existing Just Energy Transition Partnerships ahead of upcoming multilateral investment summits.

Bottom Line

The European Union is leveraging the global energy crisis to drive a synchronized international transition toward localized, low-carbon power grids, framing the shift away from fossil fuels as both a geopolitical and economic imperative.

Global electricity demand surges by 4.3% amid accelerating electrification

Key points

  • Global electricity demand increased by 4.3% in 2024, a significant acceleration from the 2.5% growth recorded in 2023.
  • China led global consumption growth, expanding its electricity use by 7% or more than 550 TWh.
  • Clean energy, led by solar PV and nuclear power, accounted for over 80% of the total growth in global electricity generation.
  • Global electric vehicle sales rose by more than 25% to exceed 17 million units, making up over 20% of all car sales.
  • European heat pump sales suffered a record 21% decline, contrasting with a 15% increase in the United States.

Main Story

The International Energy Agency has reported that global electricity demand increased by 4.3% in 2024, marking a significant acceleration from the 2.5% growth recorded in 2023.

The agency noted that total consumption grew by 1,080 TWh, a volume nearly double the annual average of the past ten years. This significant uptick was driven primarily by rapid electrification across various sectors, severe heatwaves prompting extreme cooling demands, and the rapid expansion of the data center industry.

The report indicated that China remained the primary driver of this global expansion, accounting for over half of the consumption growth with a 7% localized increase.

Concurrently, advanced economies experienced a robust reversal from their 2023 contractions, expanding by 230 TWh under the leadership of the United States. To meet this soaring demand, global renewable capacity additions surged by 25% to an estimated 700 GW.

The agency added that clean energy and nuclear power collectively expanded to cover two-fifths of total global electricity generation, signaling a progressive shift in the international power mix.

The Issues

  • High electricity prices relative to natural gas and fluctuating policy incentives triggered a record collapse in European heat pump adoption, threatening regional building decarbonization targets.
  • Wind energy capacity expansion slowed to an 8% growth rate, its lowest in two decades, as developers across the globe grappled with prolonged permitting timelines and supply chain bottlenecks.
  • Nuclear power technology deployment remains highly concentrated, with all nine global reactor construction starts in 2024 utilizing exclusively Chinese or Russian designs.

What’s Being Said

  • The IEA noted that “China accounted for the largest share of electricity consumption growth, but increases were seen globally” during the 2024 calendar year.
  • “For the first time ever, power generation from renewables and nuclear covered two-fifths of total global generation in 2024,” the report stated.
  • Regarding solar expansion, the agency emphasized that “global generation from solar PV has been doubling approximately every three years since 2016.”
  • In the heat pump segment, the report highlighted that “in 2024, heat pumps outsold natural gas furnaces by 30%, the largest gap ever recorded” in the United States.

What’s Next

  • Energy regulators will need to address grid capacity limitations as electric vehicles and data centers continue to outpace broader industrial power demand.
  • European policy frameworks are expected to undergo reviews to stabilize renewable energy additions outside major markets like Germany, Italy, and Spain.
  • The nuclear sector will see continued Chinese dominance, with the country currently managing nearly half of the 70 GW of total global nuclear capacity under construction.

Bottom Line

The global energy landscape has entered a hyper-electrified phase, forcing grid infrastructures to scale rapidly as solar PV and nuclear energy become the primary anchors for surging industrial and residential power needs.

Federal Government welcomes S&P sovereign credit rating upgrade to ‘B’

Key points

  • S&P Global Ratings has upgraded Nigeria’s sovereign credit rating from ‘B-’ to ‘B’ with a Stable Outlook.
  • The upgrade follows similar positive rating adjustments made in 2025 by Fitch Ratings and Moody’s Ratings.
  • S&P cited improvements in Nigeria’s external position, stronger balance of payments, increased oil production, and expanding domestic refining capacity.
  • The government reiterated its commitment to a market-driven economy and its stance against reintroducing fuel subsidies.
  • The rating improvement is projected to enhance Nigeria’s ability to secure international financing on more favorable terms.

Main Story

The Federal Government has welcomed the decision by S&P Global Ratings to upgrade Nigeria’s sovereign credit rating from ‘B-’ to ‘B’ with a Stable Outlook.

Finance Minister Taiwo Oyedele disclosed the development in a statement issued on Friday, noting that the upgrade followed positive rating actions in 2025 by Fitch Ratings and Moody’s Ratings.

According to the government, these independent assessments affirmed that the macroeconomic reforms undertaken under the leadership of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu were yielding measurable results.

Oyedele stated that S&P had highlighted specific improvements in Nigeria’s external position, stronger balance of payments dynamics, increased oil production, and expanding domestic refining and export capacity.

He noted that the agency had also recognized ongoing fiscal reforms aimed at broadening the tax base, improving public revenue mobilization, and strengthening debt sustainability.

The Finance Minister added that Nigeria’s debt-to-revenue ratio had improved significantly since 2023 and was projected to decline further as these reforms matured, signaling regained macroeconomic credibility to global investors.

The Issues

  • Despite the credit rating upgrade, the government faces immediate pressure to address substantial domestic economic hurdles, including persistent inflationary pressures and food security.
  • Maintaining fiscal discipline depends heavily on sustaining unpopular reforms, such as the total removal of fuel subsidies, which previously created significant distortions but cushioned short-term consumer costs.
  • Translating improved macroeconomic indicators and international investor confidence into tangible, inclusive economic prosperity and decent job opportunities for ordinary citizens remains a core challenge.

What’s Being Said

  • “The Federal Government welcomes the decision by S&P Global Ratings to upgrade Nigeria’s sovereign credit rating from ‘B-’ to ‘B’ with a Stable Outlook,” said Taiwo Oyedele.
  • “These independent assessments collectively affirm that the difficult but necessary reforms undertaken under the leadership of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, GCFR, are yielding measurable results and laying the foundation for a more stable, transparent, and resilient economy,” Oyedele stated.
  • “We have maintained our position against the reintroduction of inefficient fuel subsidies which historically created significant fiscal distortions, incentivised smuggling, weakened foreign exchange liquidity, and diverted scarce public resources away from critical national priorities,” the Minister emphasized.
  • “While these positive ratings developments are encouraging, we recognise that the work ahead remains substantial,” Oyedele added.

What’s Next

  • The upgrade is expected to position Nigeria to attract new foreign direct investment and secure international financing on more favorable borrowing terms.
  • The Federal, State, and Local Governments will continue to implement targeted fiscal reforms to broaden the tax base and enhance revenue collection tracking.
  • Economic managers will focus resources on mitigating domestic inflation and stabilization measures to support food security across the country.

Bottom Line

S&P’s upgrade of Nigeria to a ‘B’ rating validates the country’s aggressive macroeconomic adjustments, shifting its international outlook toward stability despite the ongoing domestic strain of inflation.

AfDB approves $200 million financing facility for Nigeria’s Bank of Industry

Key points

  • The African Development Bank (AfDB) approved a $200 million financing facility for the Bank of Industry (BOI) to support key growth sectors.
  • The funding targets infrastructure, transport, agro-food processing, health, pharmaceuticals, and green industrialization.
  • At least 30% of the facility is earmarked for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), prioritizing women-owned and youth-led businesses.
  • The package includes a $650,000 technical assistance grant from FAPA and support from the Affirmative Finance Action for Women in Africa (AFAWA).
  • The facility follows BOI’s successful repayment of a previous $100 million line of credit to the AfDB in 2025.

Main Story

The Board of Directors of the African Development Bank Group has approved a $200 million financing facility for the Bank of Industry (BOI), to expand access to long-term financing for enterprises operating in key growth sectors of the Nigerian economy.

The facility will drive Nigeria’s industrial transformation by providing medium- to long-term funding for businesses in critical sectors including infrastructure and transport, agro-food processing, health and pharmaceuticals, and green industrialization.

The financing prioritizes the growth and development of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), especially those owned by women and led by youth, with at least 30% of the proceeds expected to benefit Nigerian SMEs.

The intervention will also support climate-resilient and low-carbon investments, including renewable energy, energy-efficient industrial processes, climate-smart agriculture, and sustainable infrastructure solutions.

This facility builds on BOI’s long-standing partnership with the African Development Bank, following the successful repayment of a previous $100 million line of credit in 2025.

The Issues

  • Commercial banks in Nigeria remain structurally constrained from providing the patient, long-term capital required for deep industrial transformation and infrastructure development.
  • Women-owned and youth-led enterprises face persistent funding gaps due to rigid collateral requirements and structural lending biases in the traditional financial market.
  • Transitioning domestic manufacturing to climate-resilient and low-carbon processes requires specialized technical capacity alongside direct capital injection.

What’s Being Said

  • “Nigeria’s industrial transformation requires more patient, long-term capital than the market is structured to provide,” said Abdul Kamara, Director General for Nigeria, African Development Bank Group.
  • “Development finance institutions exist precisely to bridge this gap by stepping in when commercial banks may be constrained in meeting the market demand for long-term investment capital,” Kamara added.
  • “This approval directs capital to work in areas where it matters most, supporting SMEs, women entrepreneurs, and young business owners driving Nigeria’s industrial growth and economic diversification,” he stated.
  • “This facility builds on BOI’s long-standing partnership with the African Development Bank, following the successful repayment of a previous $100 million line of credit in 2025,” noted Olasupo Olusi, Managing Director/Chief Executive Officer of BOI.
  • “We appreciate the Bank’s continued confidence in BOI’s mandate and institutional capacity, and we remain committed to ensuring that this financing delivers tangible economic opportunities, job creation, and inclusive growth across Nigeria,” Olusi emphasized.

What’s Next

  • The BOI will begin deploying the $200 million facility into long-term loans for qualified enterprises in the transport, agro-processing, and pharma sectors.
  • Implementation of the $650,000 FAPA technical assistance grant will commence to upgrade ESG practices and impact measurement systems within the BOI.
  • Special credit lines under the AFAWA framework will be rolled out to ease market and value-chain access for women-led businesses.

Bottom Line

The African Development Bank is stepping in to provide the patient capital that commercial lenders cannot, using the Bank of Industry to route $200 million into import substitution, green industry, and targeted SME growth.

NAPTIP secures life sentences for two security guards over serial rape of minor in Abuja

Key points:

  • The National Agency for the Prohibition of Trafficking in Persons has secured life imprisonment for two security guards convicted of serial rape of a six-year-old girl in Abuja.
  • The Federal Capital Territory High Court in Apo sentenced James Sule (30) and Adamu Yau (25) under the Violence Against Persons (Prohibition) Act.
  • A third suspect, identified as Mohammed, remains at large as investigations continue.

Main story

The National Agency for the Prohibition of Trafficking in Persons (NAPTIP) has confirmed the conviction and life imprisonment of two security guards, James Sule (30) and Adamu Yau (25), for the serial rape of a six-year-old girl in Abuja.

According to a statement issued by NAPTIP spokesperson, Vincent Adekoye, the judgment was delivered by Justice S.M. Mayana of the Federal Capital Territory High Court 46, Apo, Abuja, following prosecution by the agency.

The court sentenced both men to life imprisonment without the option of a fine under the provisions of the Violence Against Persons (Prohibition) Act.

The convicts, who were arraigned in 2023, were found guilty of repeatedly abusing the minor over a six-year period, beginning in 2016 when she was six years old.

Court records and testimony revealed that the abuse allegedly began when one of the convicts, then a family security guard, exploited access to the victim’s home in Abuja. The abuse reportedly continued in secrecy over several years, accompanied by threats of violence against the victim and her family.

The prosecution presented five witnesses, including the victim’s mother, and tendered seven exhibits, including a medical report confirming sexual abuse.

A third suspect identified as Mohammed, said to have participated in the crimes, is currently at large.

The issues

The case highlights persistent concerns over child sexual abuse, exploitation of domestic trust relationships, and gaps in background checks for household and private security workers.

It also underscores the challenge of delayed reporting, as the victim endured abuse for years before disclosure, a pattern often linked to fear, intimidation, and trauma in sexual violence cases.

Stakeholders continue to emphasize the importance of robust child protection systems, community education, and rigorous vetting processes for individuals working in sensitive domestic roles.

What’s being said

The Director-General of the National Agency for the Prohibition of Trafficking in Persons, Binta Adamu-Bello, described the judgment as a strong warning to offenders and a step toward justice for survivors of sexual and gender-based violence.

She commended the judiciary for what she called a landmark ruling and urged Nigerians to conduct proper background checks before employing domestic workers, security personnel, and caregivers.

According to her, the conviction reflects strengthened enforcement of the Violence Against Persons Act and renewed efforts to protect vulnerable groups.

The victim’s mother also expressed gratitude to NAPTIP and all supporting agencies for ensuring justice in the case.

What’s next

The third suspect remains at large, and security and investigative agencies are expected to continue efforts to apprehend him.

NAPTIP is also expected to intensify public awareness campaigns on child protection and sexual abuse prevention, particularly within residential communities.

The case may further influence policy discussions around stricter screening procedures for domestic and private security employment.

Bottom line

The life imprisonment of two security guards by a Federal Capital Territory High Court marks a major conviction in a disturbing child sexual abuse case prosecuted by the National Agency for the Prohibition of Trafficking in Persons, reinforcing ongoing efforts to strengthen justice for survivors and deter sexual violence in Nigeria.

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