Oil Price Tumbles to $48.49/barrel in Volatile Trade

Crude Oil
Illustration of three oil rigs in the desert
Oil Prices, on Tuesday, November 22, plunged in volatile trade on concerns that Iran and Iraq were not ready to agree on an OPEC output freeze after prices earlier rose to the highest level this month on reports cartel members had overcome their internal disputes.

Analysts said the market will remain sensitive to comments from officials attending a technical meeting of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, which was trying to hammer out the details of an agreement before the formal meeting on Nov. 30, Reuters reports.

Brent futures LCOc1 were down 41 cents, or 0.8 percent, at $48.49 a barrel at 12:34 p.m. EST (1734 GMT). U.S. crude CLc1 fell 77 cents, or 1.6 percent, to $47.47 per barrel. Brent came within 4 cents of $50 earlier in the session, its highest since Oct. 28.

The premium of U.S. futures for the second month CLc2 over the front-month CL-1=R, meanwhile, climbed to 95 cents, its highest since April, as OPEC rhetoric boosts later dated crude contracts.

Prices slumped after OPEC sources said agreement to a 4.0-4.5 percent output cut by all 14 members aside from Libya and Nigeria would still hinge next week on the backing of Iran and Iraq.

“The hope was OPEC would have an announcement on a production cut on Tuesday and they don’t have one yet,” Phil Flynn, analyst at Chicago-based brokerage Price Futures Group, said, noting there are reports the cartel would defer a decision on a deal until the Nov. 30 meeting due to the opposition of Iran and Iraq.

Prices on Tuesday were initially boosted by comments from a Nigerian official attending the OPEC technical meeting that it was likely all countries would be “on board” by the end of the day.

OPEC is trying to bring its members and non-OPEC producer Russia to agree on a coordinated cut to prop up the market, beset by a two-year glut in supplies, by bringing production into line with consumption.

It said at the end of September it aimed to cut production to between 32.5 million and 33 million barrels per day compared with its recent record output of around 33.8 million bpd.

 

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