Oil Drops to $69.94/barrel, Despite Healthy Demand 

Crude Oil
Illustration of three oil rigs in the desert

Oil prices fell following early gains on Wednesday, January 17, but remained underpinned by tightening supply and strong global demand.

Tighter fundamentals have lifted both crude futures benchmarks about 13 percent above levels in early December, helped by production curbs by OPEC and Russia, as well as by healthy demand growth.

Brent crude futures LCOc1 were at $69.94 a barrel at 0946 GMT, down 21 cents from the last close, after hitting $69.37. Brent on Monday rose to $70.37 a barrel, its highest since December 2014.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures CLc1 were at $63.60 a barrel, down 13 cents on the day and down from $63.89 earlier. WTI hit $64.89 on Tuesday, also the highest since December 2014.

“Currently there is no reason to believe that there has been a significant change in the underlying fundamental sentiment and the sell-off is, so far, viewed as a technical correction,” said Tamas Varga, analyst with PVM Oil Associates in London.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and Russia have been curbing production since January last year and the cuts are set to last through 2018.

The curbs have coincided with healthy demand and solid economic growth, and as a result the market has tightened, helping to push prices up more than 50 percent from June 2017.

But markets may come under pressure from rising U.S. production, analysts say.

On Tuesday, the U.S. Energy Information Administration said it expected the country’s oil output to rise in February, with production from shale rising by 111,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 6.55 million bpd.

U.S. crude output C-OUT-T-EIA is expected to soon break through 10 million bpd, challenging top producers Russia and Saudi Arabia.

BMI Research said seasonally high refining run rates from the northern hemisphere winter season were set to fall substantially as the end of winter approaches.

Brent spot crude futures contracts have already moved out of winter, now trading for March delivery, Reuters reports.

 

 

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