According to the latest Cadre Harmonise study, 28.4 million Nigerians in 26 states and the Federal Capital Territory, including 18,000 internally displaced persons, are expected to confront acute crises between June and August this year owing to gasoline and currency scarcity.
According to the March 2023 Cadre Harmonise research, which encompassed 26 states and was revealed in Abuja on Thursday, about 17.7 million people, including 14,000 IDPs, were in crisis or worse in 26 states and the FCT until May 2023.
Cadre Harmonise is a tool used by partners in the Food Security Sector to avoid and manage food and nutrition crises. It is normally established on the request of the government.
The Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development in Nigeria leads the process through the National Plan for Food Security, in collaboration with other government ministries, departments, and organizations.
The CH study was created with the help of global, regional, and national partners such as the United Nations Food and Agricultural Organization, World Food Programme, Save the Children, UNICEF, and Mercy Corps, among others.
The CH report stated that the naira redesign was one of the key drivers of the crisis in Nigeria, adding that the withdrawal of the old naira notes from circulation created a serious bottleneck to households’ ability to access cash and food commodities.
“The prolonged scarcity of Petroleum Motor Spirit, commonly called petrol, and the associated hike in the pump price of the commodity across the states, led to an astronomical rise in transport fares and cost of food products in Nigerian markets.
“The consistent rising price of food commodities and agricultural inputs across Nigerian markets is one of the drivers of food insecurity. The general consumer price index shows an increase from 15.7 per cent in February 2022 to 21.9 per cent in February 2023 (that is 39.49 per cent point increase) year-on-year,” the report stated.
It further pointed out that insecurity, especially insurgency in the North-East states, particularly in Borno, Adamawa and Yobe, was still persistent.
“There is armed banditry and kidnapping for ransom in some North-West states such as Katsina, Sokoto and Kaduna, as well as North-Central states of Benue and Niger, which have also lingered,” the CH report stated.
It noted that food consumption levels had remained inadequate and below the desired threshold across most of the states.
The report further stated that in some Local Government Areas in Adamawa, Borno and Yobe, food consumption was so critical that most of the LGAs fell under the crisis phase.
“During the current analysis period, most of the households in the analysed areas adopted crisis to worse level livelihood coping measures. The implication is that most households had irreversibly disposed of their livelihood assets to meet their food and non-food needs.
“This is most common in the insurgency affected states of Adamawa, Borno and Yobe, where the number of affected LGAs stand at four, 13, and 10 respectively.
“The nutrition situation deduced from the IPC acute malnutrition projection for January to April 2023, covering Adamawa, Borno and Yobe (North-East), and Katsina, Sokoto and Zamfara (North-West), shows prevalence of crisis to worse nutrition situation across the states,” the report stated.
The March 2023 cycle of the Cadre Harmonise analysis covered 26 states, including Abia, Adamawa, Bauchi, Benue, Borno, Cross River, Edo, Enugu, Gombe, Jigawa, Kaduna, Kano, and Katsina.
Others include Kebbi, Kogi, Kwara, Lagos, Nasarawa, Niger, Ogun Plateau, Rivers, Sokoto, Taraba, Yobe, and Zamfara, as well as the Federal Capital Territory.
The report recommended that the government and humanitarian community should sustain the implementation of life-saving interventions of food assistance and unconditional cash transfers (social welfare package) to vulnerable populations in the affected areas.