Gold crumbles below $1,275 an ounce on Tuesday, December 5, as the dollar rose against the euro, but the
metal held within this quarter’s narrow price range ahead of fresh signals on U.S. tax reform.
The dollar received a boost on Monday after the U.S. Senate approved a tax overhaul. Investors kept the currency well bid as they waited to see how the next step of the legislation would proceed.
Spot gold was at $1,267.89 an ounce at 1455 GMT, down 0.6 percent, while U.S. gold futures for December
delivery were down $7.20 an ounce at $1,270.50.
It has held broadly between $1,271 and $1,289 so far this month, after posting its narrowest monthly range in 12 years in November.
The metal has risen 10 percent in the year to date, but momentum has stalled in the second half as global equities rallied and an expected hike in U.S. interest rates approached.
“The economic backdrop is benign, meaning there is no real reason to jump into gold, so investment demand is somewhat soft,” Julius Baer analyst Carsten Menke said.
“Overall physical demand is down to multi-year lows, so even outside the investment community, there is no real push into gold from the likes of China and India.”
“Without this demand spark, gold just remains very, very sensitive to the U.S. dollar.”
A stronger dollar makes assets priced in the U.S. currencymore expensive for holders of other currencies. Investors are also looking ahead to the upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls report later this week, which will be the last employment report before the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting next week.
The Fed is almost certain to raise interest rates later this month, according to a Reuters poll of economists, a majority of whom now expect three more rate rises next year compared with two when surveyed just weeks ago.
Gold is highly sensitive to rising U.S. interest rates, which lift the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion.
In 2018, gold will be pressured by several factors, including the likelihood of a modest recovery in the dollar, improvement in the U.S. economy and tightening of monetary policy by the largest central banks, ABN Amro said in a note, Reuters reports.
Among other precious metals, silver was down 1 percent at $16.16 an ounce, while platinum was 0.9
percent lower at $915.60, and palladium was down 0.1 percent at $991.20.
Monday’s price slide in palladium was accompanied by 12,700-ounce reduction in exchange-traded fund holdings, Commerzbank said in a note. “This was already the fourth majordaily outflow in the space of two weeks,” it said.
