The British Pound Sterling skidded to six-day lows on Tuesday, December 5, heading for its worst day in over a month, on uncertainty over whether Britain can reach a deal with the European Union to open talks on post-Brexit free trade.
Sterling, which had hit two-month highs of $1.3550 at the end of last week, slipped to as low as $1.3370 in early trade in London on Tuesday, before edging up to trade around $1.3420 by 1020 GMT. That still left it almost half a percent down on the day.
British Prime Minister Theresa May failed to clinch such an agreement during a lunch in Brussels on Monday, after a tentative deal with Dublin to keep EU rules in Northern Ireland angered her allies in Belfast.
During a volatile day of trading on Monday, the pound had climbed on prospects of free trade and perhaps a very “soft Brexit”. But a sell-off was triggered when Northern Ireland’s Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) issued an uncompromising reiteration of its refusal to accept any “divergence” from rules on the British mainland.
Britain’s finance minister Philip Hammond said on Tuesday he was “very confident” a deal between the EU and Britain could be reached this week.
May and other British officials will speak to the DUP later in the day, an official said, and could return to Brussels as early as Wednesday to try to save a deal.
BNP Paribas currency strategist said the market was still pricing in a positive outcome from the EU summit on Dec. 14-15, and that sterling looked vulnerable.
“What we’re likely to see on an announcement (of a deal) is sell-the-fact price action,” he said. “The market is already positioned with a small net long position and the likelihood of them wanting to build that position out further is small.”
Other analysts argued sterling’s losses were likely to be limited.
Data showing Britain’s dominant services sector lost speed in November as prices charged by companies rose at their fastest pace in nearly 10 years – potentially adding to the country’s inflation problem – had only a small further negative effect on the pound.
Against the euro, it traded down 0.3 percent at 88.34 pence.
